Gap high, fall-Positive policies and incentives: Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has released positive signals such as stabilizing the stock market, which will enhance the overall confidence of the market, attract capital inflows and push the market to open higher. For example, after the meeting of the Political Bureau on September 26th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares rose sharply [__LINK_ICON].The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:
-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.-Technical cooperation: From a technical point of view, if the market is already in a state of readiness in the early stage, and all technical indicators show a long position, then under the stimulus of favorable policies, the market is expected to rise sharply and break through the previous resistance level.
-Uncertainty of macro-economy and external market: Uncertainty of macro-economic data, tension of international trade situation and other factors may affect investors' decision-making, so that the market will be suppressed by these negative factors and fall after opening higher [__LINK_ICON].The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:-Sector rotation promotion: The related sectors mentioned in the meeting, such as real estate and finance, may take the lead to drive the market to open higher, and then the technology and consumption sectors will relay to promote the overall market to fluctuate upward, forming a benign sector rotation effect.